This has been the worst bull cycle ever

I want out

No brakes in this ride

If you buyed yesterday you would be rich.

4 year cycle broken

If you look at the 2025 comparison chart to any other bull run, you can see clear as day that Trump fucked this bull run up. I don't think we're getting the golden bull run we wanted this time around and it makes me sad after literally investing throughout the entire bear market only to come out NEGATIVE so far this year. Those chart comparisons with all the previous bull runs truly shows this time is different. Clear as day it's different. I felt it in my bones beforehand but now it's real and it's both shameful and disheartening

Those chart comparisons with all the previous bull runs truly shows this time is different. Clear as day it's different.

This better be a bottom signal

This board has been screaming bottom signal for 4 months

you mean 4 years

*if you were rich already and bought yesterday you're more rich

BTC price EOY?

All the FUD about the cycle being frontran by a year seems to be true. This Q1 was red, that's never happened post-halving. Based on previous cycles everything was supposed to be way, way higher than what it currently is.

Probably sub-30K. Alts will be raped even harder, ETH will likely be sub-$500.

66k. It will dump to around 30-40k a year after.

no, the bull run was delayed cause of trump. its gonna go up, just not as much as we though and not until 4th quarter.

the bull cycle ended when btc got to 100k
that was it
that was the end of crypto
everything since then has been bullshit

...bull?

Anon... it's time to let it go.

This has been a common sentiment very often in the 550 days post-halving, despite higher highs being made not too long after such sentiments being experienced.

This cycle is more closely following two cycles ago than the last cycle. In 2017, Q1 had two red months, Jan and March. This year, Q1 had two red months, Feb and March. We're only ten days into April so the seasonality is still there.
In both of the last two cycles, in the year after the halving, the BTC price returned to the high from the halving year. BTC hasn't even done that this year yet. It would need to go to $73.8k. It got close just this Monday when it retraced to $74,420.69, which I do think is the local bottom, and not just for the meme potential. But if it doesn't go back to its March 2024 high, then we'll look back on this cycle and say it's never done that before.
Now Bitcoin always has had that one thing each cycle where we can say it's never done that before, but I'm starting to think that the one thing for this cycle will be that we end up having two things never done before. The first is the ATH before the halving. And the second will be not returning to the high from the halving year during the post-halving year, which coincidentally, is also the ATH before the halving. Obviously, the second can still be disproven, but I just don't think it will.
Anyway, that's how I'm reading the tea leaves, and I'm quite bullish.

It's over bro. We're in the middle of fucking April, if it was going to pump it already would have.

Main problem now is the fucking instituations all into crypto, and because of that crypto = stocks , and follows stocks to a T.
And whats worse is this shit WILL crash by the end of the year while stocks wont and will keep going up after this tarrif BS is over..
so we get a lose-lose, while stocks are a lose then win scenario.
Fuck billionaires and institutions, leave crypto away from stockmarket trash

Without institutional investment BTC would still be stuck at 12k.

for crypto there was no real bull cycle
btc didnt even make a 2x from previous, ETH didnt even make a new ATH and even Sol which was the leader of the memecoin market barely touched its previous ATH.
This was the no-bull cycle.

yes yes im aware of that sad reality but i just want the institutions and billionaires to stop treating crypto like the fucking stock market and maybe more like gold for a change or something.
Now it's exactly like stocks except worse cause in 6-9 months it's gonna die amyway while stocks wont

there was no bullrun to begin with. stupid retards thought trump was le good for the economy last time he became president plus he's very pro-billionaires, plus he started sucking off crypto holders as well so of course things pumped out of sheer hype once he won a really tight race with kamala. hype is fickle and doesn't last long and that's exactly what happened. i don't know if you forgot but a 'bull market' is not supposed to last two months hahaha
i stopped listening to biz overall. i found buttcoin on my own, it made me very decent gains, never saw it discussed here. you know what i see discussed? link and avi, both deprecated coins nobody's buying anymore. last good signal/alpha to come out of this board was pepe and people here were already rather late to the party.

Yeah this bull run fucking sucked so far. But I remain optimistic for the following reasons:
1) US BTC strategic reserve buying is the big boy that could flip the narrative
2) 100% pro crypto government. Its only been 3 months.
3) Trump family fully invested in crypto. They're not losing.
4) Howard Lutnik, the main tariff bro is fully invested in BTC and his firm bought $1 billion in MSTR. He's not losing.
5) Global M2 on the rise
6) DXY is falling fast

This cycle is more closely following two cycles ago than the last cycle. In 2017, Q1 had two red months, Jan and March. This year, Q1 had two red months, Feb and March.

Yeah for btc. Alts in late dec alts have been bearish ever since, just non getting sold off. Bearish for 4 months and no sign of relief.
In fact in jan-feb there was no reason for it, btc was still crabbing in the 90-100k range.
If you look at alts during that period of time in Q1 they were still pumping and holding on to their gains.
Still it is absolutely diabolical to not see an alt season this cycle

seasonality is still there.

Good point. This blows but we're still not far off the 2017 pace.

Trump's shitcoin sucked all the liquidity from the altcoin market. It's done.

US BTC strategic reserve buying

The only thing that will force their hands to buy is if another big entity starts buying like china or europe, in order to not be at a disadvantage.
They are only holding confiscated coins for now

5) Global M2 on the rise

6) DXY is falling fast

Only 2 points that im bullish on, but fed still needs to cut rates and end QT which they are likely to not do

Even if the fed turns on the money printer it will take years for inflation to take full effect (see: Covid). None of these are bull signals in the short term. BTC will pump 2 years from now, when the cycle reaches its bottom.

There was more money thrown into crypto this cycle than last. It just went all into bitcoin and a small selection of alts.

If you bought 0DTE OTM Calls you would've gotten like a 40-80x even with the IV.

trump and MIGA were the generational top signal, typical bottom signals do not apply here

i stopped listening to biz overall. i found buttcoin on my own, it made me very decent gains, never saw it discussed here

Same anon. I stumbled on A47 somewhere on Twitter. Thought it was just another meme at first, but when I saw how it blends satire and crypto news, i just love how its doing something differently.

I want out

Sell then. See you on the other side.

Before you jump ship, check this out:
Inflation’s cooling off—at least that’s what @a47news_ai is saying—but tariffs are still playing puppet master. China’s still sizzling while a 90-day tariff chill gives the rest a breather. Numbers are doing their usual magic tricks. Might be a perfect storm or just another rollercoaster ride in this rigged funhouse. Either way, bailing now could mean missing the next twist. Stay in if you can stomach the chaos, or get out knowing you played the game.

1m BTC is actually unironically possible with the devaluation of the dollar

Probably some propaganda to keep people interested in his govt

Do you guys think DOGE payments or the war in Ukraine ending will happen this year? Seems both would be pretty bullish as well

Buyed what exactly?