There are no soft landings. Always remember that.
You think this is the first time in 50 years this chart is wrong?
post shorts, thanks
thanks
The power of orange smegma will violate all known economic principles just to benefit permabulls somehow because... it just will, TRANNY!
I hate how arrogant they are. Their assessment is always based on nothing. They get aggressive and pissed off when you question anything. The chart is literally screaming recession. There's still bearish news coming. The tariffs are still looming over us. Wars are on the brink of starting across the world. AI is coming to take jobs. P/E ratios are still insanely high. The bond market is collapsing. The US dollar is falling.
WHAT DO YOU HAVE TO BE BULLISH ABOUT? NOTHING HAS CHANGED. STOP BEING RETARDED.
most reddit sounding post ive seen today
There's still bearish news coming. The tariffs are still looming over us. Wars are on the brink of starting across the world. AI is coming to take jobs. P/E ratios are still insanely high. The bond market is collapsing. The US dollar is falling.
It's one of the two major flavors of fatherlessness a guy can end up with
But do you have any actual counter-arguments?
just 2 more weeks bro
surely then the market will agree with you
The market doesn’t care about how you feel, faggot
NIGGERS LOOK AT THE CHART.
P/E ratios aren't a feeling, migger, but don't let me stop you from buying more calls
Peak midwit
show us some high iq analysis and refute it
bottom signal
what a crash out
on biz no less lmao
Move on fag. Everyone has, why can't you? Keep watching from the sidelines I guess lmao
macroeconomic triggered trading strategy. working on the timing currently. 10/2 created back to 1950 in green line. data series: my special sauce. i'm only in TLT right now.
The power of orange smegma will violate all known economic principles
why yes, it will
US dollar dying means that USD denominated stocks will pump
your dollar value goes down. but stocks go up.
net wealth effect???????????
Recessions are buy signals not sell signals. And yes the chart would have been wrong if not for the tariffs. They forced this recession.
Awful lot of future suicide hotline caller shoeshine boys in here. The people buying this obvious bull trap deserve to lose their money.
except your a moron because 10/2 invered last fall well before trump got into office. economy was weakening already by last summer. lots of downward revisions on employment data as biden was leaving office. they fucked with the stats to make the democrat term look good.
i meant to say uninverted.
Im shorting this bulltrap you silly goose. I meant being a permabull is one of two flavors of fatherless behavior
Doesnt happen immediately you mouth breather . Lag time is between 12-24 months from inversion to market bottom. But please keep buying calls on margin if you think nothing is going to happen .
not much to say. RED points indicate periods of major economic reversal. you either buy or sell. the timing is difficult because you can be too early miss big rallies.
cagr on a basic strategy purely switching btwn spx and gs10 has similar cagr to buy/hold spx. but end of simulation shows 40% higher end balance. due to capital protection being excellent in recessionary periods. you have more capital coming out of a recession, so your money makes more money.
my buddy use a math based trigger on the data post 1976 when you can get reall 10/2 spread data. it had a cagr of 11.5% or something. pretty sure his trigger is simply overfit to data however. my current strategy for back pretends i live through the period and trade purely on the signal. his math trigger we tracked against spx non-dividend return of 8.5%. so great performance. the green 10/2 curve tries to recreate a real 10/2 based on available data. does a pretty good job.
as stated earlier refining my trading strategy now. i'm not entering long into the market until i get one of those red points. this model track major economic cycles. it's not for daytrading.
shut the fuck up. fucking retard. i didn't say that did i. you stupid fuck. i said UNINVERSION. litteral fucking retard. you must have responded to the wrong person. retard.
What i said was a prediction. My prediction is without the tariffs we would see no recession the next 2 years
Holy kek
when you trade on macro signals alone. next step is getting an options pricing module to work and incorporating that for some leverage.
There WERE no soft landings
fixed that for you, and yes this is the first time that chart is wrong since it has been wrong since h2 2022
all conventional market logic said we would have a decent recession back then already
didnt happen why money printer
the government budget is now so wrong every outcome leads to more printing which in turn gooses assets higher, to break this cycle of inevitable currency destruction requires slashing welfare and the military to the bone and that is not happening
but but but stonks go down in recession at least the market will crash even if the government prints gibs
well in that case i present you germany has been in a continuous recession yet the dax is doing fine
claiming the inversion doesnt mean recession is coming
which one is it retard? Is there a recession coming or not? pick a side. or just continue to be a faggot, retard.
Stop replying to me you dumb fuck. You have no idea what you're fucking talking about. The inversion isn't the timing component dumb fuck. Did I say the recession isn't coming you dumb fuck you fucking nigger fagot literal fucking retard. Go eat some fucking rocks
Calm down, pal
Oof this post is bullish
Which one is it you retard , did it invert or un invert ? Is it gonna crash or not ? Maybe try taking the tranny dick out of your mouth first before answering will help you focus .
this chart is wrong
Yes. Today over half the total capitalization in the stock market is owned by index funds that are on a bimonthly/semiweekly autopurchase schedule. Ever wonder why the correlation has been getting weaker since the mid 1990's (coincidentally when the first index ETF was launched)?
How the fuck are you still replying to me you dumb fuck how the fuck do you use the fucking internet you understand the meaning of inversion and inversion you dumb fuck look at the fucking chart and look for yourself you dumb fuck piece of fucking shit
got a real high level retard here.
Anon why dont you answer the question.
does the number go down or up fucking faggot. you can't even use your fucking eyes. durrr. what inversion and unversion. ????? whats up????? durrr ????? what's down????? imagine being retarded pretending to be smart and ask people to answer the question you so you can know the answer.
You don’t know which is which do you?
Hint: ask chatgpt boomer