That assessment is pretty much where I arrive at when I think about it practically. There's a lot of what ifs, but they all arrive at a conclusion where the optimal strategy seems to be to pretend like you're going along with the tariff stuff, while just waiting for someone to come in and switch them off because they're not really an orthodox economic policy for a country like the U.S. So the most likely outcome is someone is going to come in and drop them in the future because it's the obvious signal of competence and as a result building capital policy around them being a 20 year thing when they are a 3 year thing at best seems to be a mistake.
The tariffs either don't work or they work and if they work, they have to work in a way that makes it politically inconvenient to come in and dismantle them. That means they'd need to be home runs which there is nothing to indicate they will be. If they were going to be home runs, you could trot out actual facts, evidence, and timelines (even approximate ones) instead of "we're gonna have more money than we know what to do with!" So given that, the strategy is to just be like "oh yea, tariffs, cool, we'll move manufacturing back here...give us some time...sure we're working on it...oh okay, Trump's gone...tariffs are gone...fuck that bullshit, back to business as usual."
Yep. Completely agreed. It's the complexity of human interactions at play. You don't piss on someone's car, apologize or even clean off the piss yourself, and it permanently erases the memory of the incident. The event changes the dynamic going forward. It seems like a big mess and I'm only seeing rationalizations and mental gymnastics on the scale of "she's sleeping over another guy's house, but they're just friends, heh, just friends."
I need a fucking drink. And the guy at the top of the thread who's supposedly out to kill people for looking at him funny still hasn't come to put me out of my misery.
Lol.